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广东省人民政府首页  >  要闻动态  >  广东要闻

多项政策力保基建稳增长

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年05月22日 03:18:09
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(低)(显)(示)(,经)(济)(仍)(在)(艰)(难)(企)(稳)(的)(过)(程)(中)(。这)(也)(使)(得)(后)(续)(的)(政)(策)(走)(向)(愈)(发)(引)(人)(关)(注)(。
  9月)(1日)(召)(开)(的)(国)(务)(院)(常)(务)(会)(议)(上)(,决)(定)(设)(立)(国)(家)(中)(小)(企)(业)(发)(展)(基)(金)(,政)(府)(与)(市)(场)(携)(手)(增)(强)(创)(业)(创)(新)(动)(力)(;确)(定)(调)(整)(和)(完)(善)(固)(定)(资)(产)(投)(资)(项)(目)(资)(本)(金)(比)(例)(制)(度)(,促)(进)(投)(资)(结)(构)(优)(化)(等)(。而)(在)(此)(之)(前)(,8月)(26日)(召)(开)(的)(国)(务)(院)(常)(务)(会)(议)(已)(经)(指)(出)(“要)(进)(一)(步)(破)(解)(审)(批)(繁)(琐)(、资)(金)(缺)(口)(大)(等)(问)(题)(,加)(快)(棚)(改)(、铁)(路)(、水)(利)(等)(重)(大)(工)(程)(建)(设)(,设)(立)(PPP项)(目)(引)(导)(资)(金)(,扩)(大)(有)(效)(投)(资)(需)(求)(。”
  受)(访)(经)(济)(学)(家)(称)(,最)(新)(的)(数)(据)(显)(示)(经)(济)(回)(升)(仍)(面)(临)(压)(力)(,下)(半)(年)(增)(长)(压)(力)(仍)(然)(较)(大)(,未)(来)(基)(建)(或)(是)(稳)(增)(长)(重)(要)(抓)(手)(。最)(新)(显)(示)(经)(济)(回)(升)(仍)(面)(临)(压)(力)(。
  不)(难)(看)(出)(,“稳)(增)(长)(”与)(“促)(改)(革)(”依)(然)(是)(决)(策)(层)(盘)(活)(中)(国)(经)(济)(这)(盘)(棋)(的)(重)(要)(战)(术)(。
  经)(济)(增)(长)(仍)(面)(临)(下)(行)(压)(力)(
  “8月)(份)(制)(造)(业)(PMI出)(现)(破)(位)(下)(跌)(的)(主)(要)(原)(因)(除)(了)(需)(求)(疲)(软)(之)(外)(,还)(和)(七)(八)(月)(份)(灾)(害)(性)(天)(气)(频)(发)(,以)(及)(8月)(下)(旬)(京)(津)(冀)(地)(区)(由)(于)(阅)(兵)(庆)(典)(而)(加)(大)(治)(理)(大)(气)(污)(染)(力)(度)(所)(造)(成)(的)(主)(动)(性)(停)(工)(停)(产)(有)(关)(。”摩)(根)(士)(丹)(利)(华)(鑫)(证)(券)(宏)(观)(经)(济)(研)(究)(主)(管)(章)(俊)(发)(给)(《中)(国)(经)(营)(报)(》记)(者)(分)(析)(中)(称)(。
  方)(正)(证)(券)(首)(席)(宏)(观)(分)(析)(师)(郭)(磊)(也)(对)(记)(者)(表)(示)(,这)(可)(能)(有)(三)(个)(因)(素)(影)(响)(了)(PMI的)(表)(现)(:首)(先)(是)(原)(油)(等)(大)(宗)(商)(品)(在)(8月)(出)(现)(了)(反)(弹)(前)(的)(一)(轮)(再)(度)(下)(探)(,这)(一)(点)(影)(响)(了)(企)(业)(补)(库)(存)(预)(期)(;其)(次)(,华)(北)(六)(省)(市)(阅)(兵)(前)(的)(限)(工)(限)(产)(,影)(响)(了)(生)(产)(指)(数)(的)(表)(现)(;再)(次)(,8月)(汇)(改)(所)(带)(来)(的)(汇)(率)(波)(动)(,影)(响)(了)(出)(口)(订)(单)(和)(出)(口)(企)(业)(开)(工)(节)(奏)(。
  从)(分)(类)(指)(数)(看)(,在)(构)(成)(制)(造)(业)(PMI的)(5个)(分)(类)(指)(数)(中)(,生)(产)(指)(数)(和)(供)(应)(商)(配)(送)(时)(间)(指)(数)(继)(续)(高)(于)(临)(界)(点)(,新)(订)(单)(指)(数)(、从)(业)(人)(员)(指)(数)(和)(原)(材)(料)(库)(存)(指)(数)(仍)(低)(于)(临)(界)(点)(。其)(中)(,官)(方)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,新)(订)(单)(指)(数)(为)(49.7%,比)(7月)(下)(降)(0.2个)(百)(分)(点)(,连)(续)(两)(个)(月)(位)(于)(临)(界)(点)(下)(方)(,表)(明)(制)(造)(业)(市)(场)(需)(求)(继)(续)(减)(弱)(。作)(为)(反)(映)(国)(内)(/海)(外)(需)(求)(面)(的)(重)(要)(指)(标)(“新)(订)(单)(指)(数)(”和)(“新)(出)(口)(订)(单)(指)(数)(”在)(8月)(份)(双)(双)(继)(续)(回)(落)(。章)(俊)(解)(读)(称)(,这)(说)(明)(未)(来)(经)(济)(增)(长)(的)(压)(力)(依)(旧)(很)(大)(。
  分)(企)(业)(规)(模)(看)(,虽)(然)(大)(型)(和)(中)(型)(企)(业)(PMI继)(续)(下)(行)(而)(且)(双)(双)(跌)(破)(50,但)(小)(型)(企)(业)(PMI出)(现)(1.2个)(百)(分)(点)(幅)(度)(的)(显)(著)(反)(弹)(。数)(据)(显)(示)(,分)(企)(业)(规)(模)(看)(,大)(型)(企)(业)(PMI为)(49.9%,比)(7月)(下)(降)(0.7个)(百)(分)(点)(,年)(内)(首)(次)(落)(至)(临)(界)(点)(下)(方)(;中)(型)(企)(业)(PMI为)(49.8%,比)(7月)(下)(降)(0.2个)(百)(分)(点)(,低)(于)(临)(界)(点)(;小)(型)(企)(业)(PMI为)(48.1%,比)(7月)(回)(升)(1.2个)(百)(分)(点)(,继)(续)(位)(于)(收)(缩)(区)(间)(,但)(收)(缩)(幅)(度)(有)(所)(减)(小)(。
  对)(于)(8月)(PMI,民)(生)(宏)(观)(分)(析)(师)(称)(,整)(体)(而)(言)(,经)(济)(仍)(不)(见)(底)(。从)(微)(观)(层)(面)(来)(看)(,房)(产)(投)(资)(、基)(建)(投)(资)(、制)(造)(业)(投)(资)(皆)(回)(落)(;工)(业)(用)(电)(量)(、利)(润)(等)(数)(据)(来)(看)(依)(旧)(水)(深)(火)(热)(;经)(济)(托)(底)(回)(升)(压)(力)(大)(。
  再)(者)(,从)(工)(业)(企)(业)(利)(润)(数)(据)(来)(看)(,经)(济)(仍)(面)(临)(下)(行)(压)(力)(。8月)(28日)(国)(家)(统)(计)(局)(最)(新)(发)(布)(的)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,1~7月)(份)(,全)(国)(规)(模)(以)(上)(工)(业)(企)(业)(实)(现)(利)(润)(总)(额)(33173.1亿)(元)(,同)(比)(下)(降)(1%,降)(幅)(比)(1~6月)(份)(扩)(大)(0.3个)(百)(分)(点)(。其)(中)(,7月)(份)(,规)(模)(以)(上)(工)(业)(企)(业)(实)(现)(利)(润)(总)(额)(4715.6亿)(元)(,同)(比)(下)(降)(2.9%,降)(幅)(比)(6月)(份)(扩)(大)(2.6个)(百)(分)(点)(。
  不)(过)(,经)(济)(面)(临)(下)(行)(压)(力)(的)(同)(时)(,也)(出)(现)(改)(善)(的)(迹)(象)(。进)(入)(8月)(份)(后)(经)(济)(运)(行)(开)(始)(出)(现)(积)(极)(变)(化)(,从)(全)(国)(发)(用)(电)(量)(和)(铁)(路)(货)(运)(装)(车)(数)(据)(来)(看)(,情)(况)(都)(有)(向)(好)(的)(迹)(象)(。
  据)(国)(网)(快)(报)(数)(据)(,8月)(1~28日)(,全)(国)(发)(用)(电)(同)(比)(增)(长)(2.97%,增)(速)(较)(去)(年)(同)(期)(回)(升)(6.54个)(百)(分)(点)(,比)(7月)(增)(速)(回)(升)(4.97个)(百)(分)(点)(。从)(当)(前)(电)(力)(运)(行)(趋)(势)(看)(,业)(界)(预)(计)(8月)(份)(全)(国)(发)(用)(电)(同)(比)(增)(长)(3%左)(右)(,9月)(份)(有)(望)(继)(续)(保)(持)(增)(长)(。与)(此)(同)(时)(,全)(国)(铁)(路)(日)(均)(装)(车)(也)(出)(现)(趋)(稳)(态)(势)(。据)(运)(行)(调)(度)(数)(据)(,煤)(炭)(、钢)(铁)(、石)(油)(等)(大)(宗)(货)(物)(日)(均)(装)(车)(基)(本)(稳)(定)(,月)(度)(之)(间)(变)(化)(也)(很)(小)(;而)(集)(装)(箱)(、零)(散)(货)(物)(运)(量)(逐)(步)(提)(高)(,7月)(份)(集)(装)(箱)(日)(均)(装)(车)(环)(比)(增)(长)(5.8%,零)(散)(货)(物)(日)(均)(运)(量)(环)(比)(增)(长)(18%。8月)(1~27日)(,全)(国)(铁)(路)(日)(均)(装)(车)(数)(较)(7月)(份)(日)(均)(调)(度)(水)(平)(增)(加)(1.2%。
  章)(俊)(认)(为)(,从)(上)(述)(两)(项)(数)(据)(来)(看)(,目)(前)(实)(体)(经)(济)(已)(经)(完)(成)(筑)(底)(,并)(开)(始)(进)(入)(温)(和)(改)(善)(迹)(象)(。
  8月)(宏)(观)(数)(据)(即)(将)(公)(布)(。对)(此)(,瑞)(银)(中)(国)(首)(席)(经)(济)(学)(家)(汪)(涛)(发)(给)(记)(者)(分)(析)(中)(估)(计)(,“即)(将)(公)(布)(的)(8月)(宏)(观)(数)(据)(将)(显)(示)(实)(体)(经)(济)(活)(动)(同)(比)(增)(速)(较)(7月)(略)(有)(改)(观)(,但)(主)(要)(得)(益)(于)(去)(年)(同)(期)(基)(数)(较)(低)(,而)(内)(在)(环)(比)(增)(长)(势)(头)(可)(能)(依)(然)(乏)(力)(。与)(此)(同)(时)(,股)(市)(成)(交)(量)(萎)(缩)(、市)(场)(持)(续)(剧)(烈)(波)(动)(,意)(味)(着)(金)(融)(业)(对)(GDP增)(速)(的)(拉)(动)(正)(在)(回)(落)(。”因)(此)(,她)(认)(为)(,目)(前)(来)(看)(,三)(季)(度)(GDP增)(速)(破)(7的)(概)(率)(较)(高)(。
  在)(这)(种)(复)(杂)(的)(局)(面)(下)(,提)(升)(市)(场)(活)(力)(,提)(升)(经)(济)(动)(能)(成)(为)(稳)(增)(长)(、促)(改)(革)(的)(主)(要)(政)(策)(诉)(求)(。
  受)(访)(人)(士)(称)(,这)(有)(助)(缓)(解)(中)(小)(企)(业)(融)(资)(难)(、融)(资)(贵)(的)(问)(题)(。
  基)(建)(或)(仍)(是)(稳)(增)(长)(重)(要)(抓)(手)(
  “上)(半)(年)(靠)(金)(融)(,下)(半)(年)(靠)(基)(建)(:上)(半)(年)(GDP的)(主)(力)(军)(金)(融)(业)(萎)(缩)(严)(重)(,下)(半)(年)(经)(济)(有)(破)(7风)(险)(,稳)(增)(长)(不)(会)(退)(出)(,只)(会)(加)(码)(,而)(且)(思)(路)(会)(更)(加)(务)(实)(,从)(货)(币)(转)(财)(政)(,从)(金)(融)(转)(实)(体)(,未)(来)(基)(建)(仍)(然)(是)(稳)(增)(长)(的)(重)(要)(抓)(手)(。”民)(生)(宏)(观)(分)(析)(师)(表)(示)(。
  根)(据)(国)(家)(统)(计)(局)(一)(季)(度)(数)(据)(计)(算)(,金)(融)(业)(增)(加)(值)(增)(量)(对)(GDP增)(量)(的)(贡)(献)(已)(接)(近)(30%,远)(远)(高)(出)(以)(往)(12%左)(右)(的)(占)(比)(。
  “一)(季)(度)(如)(果)(没)(有)(金)(融)(业)(的)(崛)(起)(,GDP大)(概)(只)(有)(6.5%。”民)(生)(证)(券)(宏)(观)(研)(究)(员)(朱)(振)(鑫)(此)(前)(在)(接)(受)(媒)(体)(采)(访)(时)(表)(示)(。
  然)(而)(,6月)(底)(以)(来)(金)(融)(市)(场)(动)(荡)(,特)(别)(是)(A股)(市)(场)(出)(现)(大)(幅)(回)(调)(,使)(得)(上)(半)(年)(金)(融)(行)(业)(对)(GDP增)(长)(的)(贡)(献)(在)(下)(半)(年)(不)(可)(复)(制)(。短)(期)(来)(看)(,稳)(增)(长)(仍)(是)(主)(要)(任)(务)(,未)(来)(基)(建)(或)(是)(稳)(增)(长)(的)(重)(要)(抓)(手)(。
  瑞)(银)(证)(券)(研)(究)(团)(队)(指)(出)(,金)(融)(业)(对)(下)(半)(年)(GDP增)(速)(的)(拉)(动)(可)(能)(较)(上)(半)(年)(减)(少)(0.5个)(百)(分)(点)(左)(右)(。
  中)(信)(建)(投)(研)(究)(部)(专)(题)(组)(组)(长)(夏)(敏)(仁)(对)(记)(者)(称)(,“未)(来)(稳)(增)(长)(仍)(靠)(基)(建)(发)(力)(,像)(铁)(路)(、轨)(道)(交)(通)(与)(地)(下)(管)(廊)(等)(项)(目)(都)(有)(望)(加)(速)(推)(进)(。”
  “近)(期)(地)(产)(政)(策)(已)(经)(再)(度)(放)(松)(;在)(地)(方)(财)(政)(已)(有)(明)(显)(好)(转)(的)(背)(景)(下)(,我)(们)(预)(计)(基)(建)(将)(会)(成)(为)(后)(续)(政)(策)(加)(码)(的)(一)(个)(关)(键)(领)(域)(。”郭)(磊)(也)(持)(类)(似)(看)(法)(。
  郭)(磊)(指)(出)(,“828”国)(务)(院)(专)(题)(会)(议)(已)(确)(定)(近)(期)(政)(策)(主)(基)(调)(是)(“稳)(经)(济)(+防)(风)(险)(”。该)(会)(议)(指)(出)(外)(部)(环)(境)(存)(在)(“新)(的)(不)(确)(定)(”,指)(出)(金)(融)(稳)(定)(事)(关)(大)(局)(,并)(重)(点)(强)(调)(汇)(率)(、流)(动)(性)(、资)(本)(市)(场)(三)(个)(领)(域)(。
  章)(俊)(认)(为)(,鉴)(于)(在)(国)(内)(经)(济)(“三)(期)(叠)(加)(”及)(海)(外)(需)(求)(依)(旧)(疲)(软)(的)(背)(景)(下)(,保)(持)(宏)(观)(政)(策)(的)(稳)(定)(性)(和)(连)(续)(性)(尤)(为)(重)(要)(,其)(中)(“积)(极)(的)(财)(政)(政)(策)(”将)(继)(续)(扮)(演)(稳)(增)(长)(政)(策)(组)(合)(中)(的)(核)(心)(角)(色)(,而)(货)(币)(政)(策)(在)(稳)(健)(的)(基)(调)(下)(将)(继)(续)(通)(过)(降)(息)(降)(准)(和)(其)(他)(货)(币)(政)(策)(工)(具)(的)(综)(合)(运)(用)(来)(配)(合)(财)(政)(政)(策)(的)(展)(开)(。
  财)(政)(政)(策)(上)(,据)(受)(访)(专)(家)(介)(绍)(,除)(了)(目)(前)(已)(见)(到)(的)(大)(规)(模)(地)(方)(政)(府)(债)(务)(置)(换)(来)(解)(放)(地)(方)(政)(府)(在)(基)(建)(投)(资)(方)(面)(的)(融)(资)(瓶)(颈)(之)(外)(,财)(政)(部)(高)(层)(近)(期)(也)(公)(开)(表)(示)(,下)(半)(年)(的)(积)(极)(财)(政)(政)(策)(中)(还)(包)(括)(“适)(当)(扩)(大)(财)(政)(赤)(字)(”。
  “在)(目)(前)(积)(极)(的)(财)(政)(政)(策)(的)(基)(调)(下)(,项)(目)(审)(批)(和)(建)(设)(资)(金)(到)(位)(已)(经)(不)(成)(为)(障)(碍)(,而)(项)(目)(的)(落)(地)(和)(推)(进)(成)(为)(稳)(增)(长)(政)(策)(见)(效)(的)(关)(键)(。目)(前)(在)(中)(央)(层)(面)(,除)(了)(审)(计)(署)(重)(点)(审)(计)(了)(财)(政)(存)(量)(及)(闲)(置)(土)(地)(盘)(活)(,重)(大)(工)(程)(项)(目)(推)(进)(等)(方)(面)(的)(落)(实)(之)(外)(,最)(近)(国)(务)(院)(也)(借)(督)(查)(促)(稳)(增)(长)(工)(程)(落)(地)(,目)(前)(已)(经)(有)(7省)(59名)(干)(部)(由)(于)(懒)(政)(怠)(政)(、失)(察)(失)(职)(渎)(职)(等)(不)(作)(为)(问)(题)(被)(问)(责)(。”在)(章)(俊)(看)(来)(,在)(中)(央)(稳)(增)(长)(政)(策)(火)(力)(全)(开)(,以)(及)(自)(上)(而)(下)(统)(一)(思)(想)(的)(前)(提)(下)(,未)(来)(经)(济)(基)(本)(面)(会)(逐)(渐)(向)(好)(。
  对)(于)(未)(来)(的)(政)(策)(走)(向)(,高)(盛)(高)(华)(首)(席)(宏)(观)(经)(济)(学)(家)(宋)(宇)(发)(给)(记)(者)(分)(析)(中)(预)(计)(未)(来)(进)(一)(步)(放)(松)(措)(施)(将)(会)(出)(台)(,具)(体)(形)(式)(包)(括)(加)(大)(力)(度)(支)(持)(政)(策)(性)(银)(行)(为)(基)(建)(项)(目)(融)(资)(;进)(一)(步)(降)(息)(降)(准)(以)(及)(对)(政)(府)(机)(构)(施)(加)(更)(大)(压)(力)(盘)(活)(闲)(置)(财)(政)(存)(款)(并)(进)(行)(基)(建)(投)(资)(。
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